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【科创板研究】科创板首批25家企业反映的总量特征

国泰君安证券研究 2019-07-22 11:43:24

科创(chuang)板网下中签率远高于其他(ta)板块。首批25家企业网(wang)下中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)情(qing)况中(zhong),A类(lei)平(ping)均中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)为(wei)0.3345%,B类(lei)平(ping)均中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)为(wei)0.3158%,C类(lei)平(ping)均中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)为(wei)0.2779%,A类(lei)科创(chuang)板中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)较(jiao)(jiao)目前场内所(suo)有(you)板块(kuai)平(ping)均中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)提(ti)(ti)升了8倍(bei)左右(you),而C类(lei)更是(shi)提(ti)(ti)升了近(jin)20倍(bei)。较(jiao)(jiao)以往A类(lei)中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)与C类(lei)中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)4倍(bei)左右(you)的差(cha)(cha)距(ju)而言(yan),科创(chuang)板网(wang)下AC类(lei)中(zhong)签(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)(qian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)差(cha)(cha)距(ju)并不(bu)明显,且C类(lei)不(bu)用摇号锁定,目前来看性价比较(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)。


科创板首批(pi)企业展现(xian)出(chu)较好的(de)盈利能力和成长性。首批(pi)(pi)25家(jia)(jia)公(gong)司均为盈利(li)企业,2018年(nian)营业收入(ru)均值(zhi)为23.84亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)、归(gui)母净(jing)利(li)润(run)均值(zhi)为2.85亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)。而2018年(nian)主板(ban)(ban)、中(zhong)(zhong)小(xiao)板(ban)(ban)、创业板(ban)(ban)全部已上市公(gong)司营业收入(ru)均值(zhi)分别(bie)为204.15亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)、49.80亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)、18.00亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan),归(gui)母净(jing)利(li)润(run)均值(zhi)分别(bie)为16.34亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)、2.11亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)、0.40亿(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)。科创板(ban)(ban)首批(pi)(pi)25家(jia)(jia)公(gong)司营收规模较小(xiao)但利(li)润(run)水平高(gao)于中(zhong)(zhong)小(xiao)板(ban)(ban)和创业板(ban)(ban),从(cong)营业收入(ru)、归(gui)母净(jing)利(li)润(run)同比增速的角度来(lai)看,这(zhei)25家(jia)(jia)公(gong)司也(ye)明(ming)显优于主板(ban)(ban)、中(zhong)(zhong)小(xiao)板(ban)(ban)和创业板(ban)(ban),且(qie)24.52%的资本回报率和11.3%的研发投入(ru)占比也(ye)远(yuan)超目(mu)前场(chang)内其他(ta)板(ban)(ban)块(kuai)。


科创板(ban)25家(jia)企(qi)业IPO募资370亿元,超募规模60亿,市场化定价(jia)下超募是一种正常现象。首批25家(jia)企业中21家(jia)存在超(chao)募(mu),25家(jia)企业首发共募(mu)集资金(jin)370.17亿元,超(chao)过预计募(mu)集资金(jin)60.92亿元。市(shi)场化发行下超(chao)募(mu)是(shi)一种正常现象,投资者(zhe)需要转(zhuan)变目前场内板块按(an)拟(ni)(ni)募(mu)集资金(jin)和拟(ni)(ni)发行股数去衡量股价的惯性思维。


科创板首批企业(ye)平均发行市(shi)盈率为53.4倍(bei),显著(zhu)高于行业(ye)平均市(shi)盈率。科创板首批上市公(gong)司(si)(si)发(fa)(fa)行PE区(qu)间从18.80到170.75倍不等,平(ping)均为(wei)53.40倍,最低为(wei)中(zhong)国(guo)通号的(de)18.8倍,最高(gao)中(zhong)微公(gong)司(si)(si)为(wei)170.75倍。25家企(qi)业中(zhong)仅中(zhong)国(guo)通号、天宜(yi)上佳、航天宏(hong)图三家公(gong)司(si)(si)的(de)发(fa)(fa)行PE低于行业PE,首批企(qi)业的(de)发(fa)(fa)行PE平(ping)均比(bi)行业PE高(gao)19.62倍,我们认为(wei),科创板公(gong)司(si)(si)因(yin)其所处(chu)发(fa)(fa)展(zhan)阶段和业务模式的(de)特点,发(fa)(fa)展(zhan)潜力较大,较高(gao)的(de)发(fa)(fa)行PE具有(you)一(yi)定的(de)合(he)理性(xing),投资者(zhe)更应该结合(he)成(cheng)长性(xing)去看待发(fa)(fa)行PE较高(gao)这一(yi)现(xian)象(xiang)。


风险提(ti)示:发行节奏不(bu)及预期,科创板上(shang)市(shi)初期市(shi)场波动(dong)性较大。